IN BRIEF
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Japan, a country often at the forefront of innovation and resilience in the face of natural challenges, finds itself once again in the spotlight. While technological advances and early warning systems have allowed the nation to better prepare for seismic disasters, growing concern over predictions of an imminent earthquake is even pushing the Prime Minister to act in an unexpected way: canceling crucial commitments. This decision, far from being trivial, raises questions about the country’s state of preparedness and the socio-economic repercussions that such an event could cause. In a context where citizen security and crisis management are paramount, it is essential to explore the reasons behind this response and assess the true threat to this resilient nation.
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An alarming seismic context #
THE Japan is often described as a country subject to high seismic risk. Located at the crossroads of several tectonic plates along the ring of fire of the Pacific, this archipelago undergoes on average 1,500 tremors per year. The majority of these tremors are minor, but they are a constant reminder of the threat of a major earthquake.
Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida recently made the decision to stay in the country in the face of a powerful shock of magnitude 7.1 which struck southern Japan. After this event, he was heard saying at a press conference: “As Prime Minister assuming the highest responsibility for crisis management”.
Unprecedented warnings #
The Japanese authorities did not take this shock lightly. For the first time since the establishment of an improved warning system after the devastating earthquake of 2011, the weather agency issued a warning about a possible megaquake. Not only does this highlight the concern surrounding what could happen, but it also reflects the seriousness of experts about this threat.
- Expert predictions: The probability of a major earthquake in the next 30 years is estimated at 70%.
- Potential impact: An earthquake could affect a huge area of the Pacific coast and threaten approximately 300,000 people.
Warnings about possible increased seismic activity are common, and although precise prediction of disasters is impossible, experts agree that one seismic event will increase the likelihood of another earthquake within days following.
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Damage and awareness #
Interestingly, the majority of even the strongest earthquakes generally cause little damage in Japan, thanks to rigorous anti-seismic construction standards and a solid public awareness program. Nevertheless, incidents of injuries are reported, as was the case after the recent earthquake, where eight people were injured, mainly due to falling objects.
Brief retrospective of seismic disasters #
The memory of the cataclysmic earthquake 2011, which caused a tidal wave and caused approximately 20,000 dead, remains engraved in the minds of the inhabitants. This tragedy profoundly influenced crisis management policy and led to an increased focus on earthquake safety.
What steps should we take in the face of uncertainty? #
Now the question is how the Japanese government and people will deal with this constant threat. Increased vigilance on the part of authorities and citizens in the face of alert system and to the earthquake preparedness is crucial to minimize the impacts of a future disaster.
In a country where seismic uncertainty is omnipresent, the rapid and effective response of a responsive government is essential to ensure the safety of its citizens in times of need. Mr. Kishida’s decision to stay on Japanese soil could thus be seen as a strong symbolic gesture, reinforcing the need for collective vigilance in the face of danger.
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